Thursday, August 28, 2008

Right read, wrong results

I took a night off on Tuesday to go and hang out with some friends, but played a shorter session last night that was going well, but ended up in a loss. I played just under two hours with some pretty big swings along the way. I was up for most of the session except for a hand that I should have folded and one where I made the right choice but ended up on the short end of the stick. I'm pretty sure I could have gotten on the positive side, but decided to quit and play another day when I wasn't so tired.

Here's the first hand. Overplayed the aces and probably should have just dropped it on the turn, but the call was only $7 more into a $30 pot. The guy was mixing it up and had shown down both extremely strong hands as well as a few busted hands, playing about 25/18/3. He was willing to bet his draws and I had seen him get stacked trying to make a move. Maybe the better play was making a probe bet on the turn and letting it go, but I don't think that extracts full value if the person had been playing KK, the other AA (unlikely), the flush draw or straight draws. I would be way behind the Q, 66, & 33, but I made the call.

I just ran a Pokerstove calculation. Based on this guy's preflop range, I show as having 81% equity on the turn.



I was able to climb back a little, but the hand that made me decide to just call it a night was this one.



Anyway, overall stats for the night:

110 minutes
379 hands
-12.95

2 comments:

JT said...

Hand 1: It's hard to get away, but I probably play it similar. The only difference is that post flop I might overbet the pot (2x to 3x) to get rid of any flush draws. An overbet also strongly says over pair which might get him to muck especially with only a J kicker. In any case, I probably play it similar to how you did and he would have doubled up thru me.

JT said...

Hand 2: Crap, thats the kind of stuff that happens to me multiple times per night... His push is so retarded. Nothing you can do though, you got it in with the best hand.